MX23RW : Thursday, September 12 06:44:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brasileiro | Gameweek 15
Jul 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
Gremio

Juventude
3 - 0
Gremio

Gilberto (25'), Lucas (32'), Erick (83')
Barbosa (49')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pavon (69'), Reinaldo (78'), Martins (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Juventude and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bahia 2-0 Juventude
Thursday, July 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 2-2 Palmeiras
Thursday, July 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Juventude 1-1 Gremio

Following back-to-back away defeats, Juventude will be looking forward to returning to their home patch where they are yet to taste defeat this season. However, Gremio have been notably improved over the last couple of weeks and taking a point off the defending champions last time out would have done wonders for their confidence. This looks like a very even contest on paper and we feel these sides will have to settle for a share of the spoils at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventude would win this match.

Result
JuventudeDrawGremio
40.4% (1.219 1.22) 28.04% (-0.314 -0.31) 31.56% (-0.901 -0.9)
Both teams to score 46.99% (0.644 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.06% (0.92 0.92)58.94% (-0.916 -0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.58% (0.707 0.71)79.42% (-0.70299999999999 -0.7)
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (1.151 1.15)28.58% (-1.147 -1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63% (1.418 1.42)64.37% (-1.414 -1.41)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.78% (-0.15899999999999 -0.16)34.22% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.09% (-0.173 -0.17)70.91% (0.17700000000001 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Juventude 40.39%
    Gremio 31.55%
    Draw 28.04%
JuventudeDrawGremio
1-0 @ 12.24% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.23% (0.203 0.2)
2-0 @ 7.67% (0.222 0.22)
3-1 @ 3.44% (0.19 0.19)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.191 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.094 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.092 0.09)
4-0 @ 1% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 40.39%
1-1 @ 13.13% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 9.78% (-0.342 -0.34)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.04%
0-1 @ 10.48% (-0.42 -0.42)
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.62% (-0.25 -0.25)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 31.55%

How you voted: Juventude vs Gremio

Juventude
48.1%
Draw
40.7%
Gremio
11.1%
27
Head to Head
Oct 17, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 27
Gremio
3-2
Juventude
Costa (23'), Souza (24'), Villasanti (56')
Silva (86')
Vinicios (59'), Roberson (90+4')
Castilho (42'), Roberson (79'), Santos (89')
Jul 1, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 8
Juventude
2-0
Gremio
Paulinho (28'), Peixoto (83')
Elton (71'), Chico (82'), Mendes (90+3')
Nov 6, 2020 12.30am
Round of 16
Juventude
0-1
Gremio
Dalberto (18')
Isaque (37'), (85')
Oct 30, 2020 12.30am
Round of 16
Gremio
1-0
Juventude
Paulo (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo25155543241950
2FortalezaFortaleza2514653124748
3PalmeirasPalmeiras25145638191947
4FlamengoFlamengo24135639281144
5Cruzeiro2512583426841
6Sao Paulo2512583326741
7Bahia2511683427739
8InternacionalInternacional239862420435
9Vasco da GamaVasco24104102934-534
10Atletico Mineiro238963233-133
11BragantinoBragantino2486102930-130
12Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR2385102628-229
13JuventudeJuventude2578102935-629
14CriciumaCriciuma2477103235-328
15Gremio2383122328-527
16Fluminense2476112026-627
17Corinthians25510102231-925
18Vitoria2564152639-1322
19Cuiaba2457122335-1222
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO2546152140-1918


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