MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 11:10:36| >> :600:4367775:4367775:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 2, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin
Flamengo

Millonarios
1 - 1
Flamengo

Ruiz (80')
Castro (21')
Vasquez (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pedro (64' pen.)
Araujo (84')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Millonarios and Flamengo.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-2 Millonarios
Thursday, July 27 at 1am in Club Friendlies 1
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Flamengo
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 50.01%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 24.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Millonarios win it was 1-0 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
MillonariosDrawFlamengo
24.03% (-0.567 -0.57) 25.96% (-0.136 -0.14) 50.01% (0.7 0.7)
Both teams to score 48.05% (-0.159 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.81% (0.071000000000005 0.07)55.19% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.57% (0.058 0.06)76.43% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Millonarios Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.7% (-0.474 -0.47)38.3% (0.471 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.94% (-0.458 -0.46)75.06% (0.456 0.46)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88% (0.339 0.34)22.11% (-0.34 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.51% (0.507 0.51)55.48% (-0.51 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    Millonarios 24.03%
    Flamengo 50.01%
    Draw 25.96%
MillonariosDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 8.13% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-1 @ 5.89% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-0 @ 3.9% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-1 @ 1.88% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.25% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 24.03%
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 8.47% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 12.78% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 9.64% (0.167 0.17)
1-2 @ 9.25% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.85% (0.132 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.65% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.83% (0.067 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.76% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 50.01%

How you voted: Millonarios vs Flamengo

Millonarios
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Flamengo
60.0%
5
rhs 2.0
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