Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 22, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes
Belgrano0 - 2Athletico PR
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Huracan 1-0 Belgrano
Monday, August 19 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, August 19 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
33
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-2 Juventude
Sunday, August 18 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 18 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
25
We said: Belgrano 1-1 Athletico Paranaense (Athletico Paranaense advances 3-2 on aggregate)
Paranaense know how to handle the pressure of knockout games like this, and that experience should give them an edge in this decisive contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 36.6%. A win for Belgrano had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.66%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Belgrano win was 1-0 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
34.76% ( 0.01) | 28.64% ( 0) | 36.6% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.88% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
