We said: Braga 2-1 Union SG
Braga have been near impenetrable at the Estadio Braga Municipal and will be looking to return to winning ways following their defeat against Porto. While Union SG have proven to be a tough nut to crack so far, we are backing Jorge's side to come away with a slender victory, given the gulf in quality and experience between the two squads.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Union SG win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.