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J1 League | Gameweek 3
Mar 9, 2024 at 7am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
1 - 2
Vissel Kobe

Koizumi (50')
Morishige (7')
Trevisan (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Miyashiro (57'), Osako (74')
Thuler (89')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Vissel Kobe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, March 2 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-1 Reysol
Saturday, March 2 at 4am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.

Result
FC TokyoDrawVissel Kobe
28.93% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 26.67%44.39% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.82% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.21% (0.012 0.01)54.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.9% (0.010000000000002 0.01)76.09% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.03% (0.016000000000005 0.02)33.97% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.35% (0.016999999999999 0.02)70.65% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.45% (0.0040000000000049 0)24.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)59.03%
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 28.94%
    Vissel Kobe 44.39%
    Draw 26.66%
FC TokyoDrawVissel Kobe
1-0 @ 9%
2-1 @ 6.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.86% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 28.94%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 8.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 11.71%
1-2 @ 8.88%
0-2 @ 8.23% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
1-3 @ 4.16%
0-3 @ 3.85% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.46%
0-4 @ 1.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 44.39%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 11am
Gameweek 25
FC Tokyo
2-2
Vissel Kobe
Oliveira (18'), Adailton (90+10')
Matsuki (79'), Nagatomo (82'), Brandon Nozawa (90+2')
Osako (90+3' pen.), Yamaguchi (90+14')
Ohgihara (59')
May 27, 2023 6am
Gameweek 15
Vissel Kobe
3-2
FC Tokyo
Muto (20', 44'), Osako (41')
Osako (55'), Patric (88')
Oliveira (59' pen.), Perotti (85' pen.)
Morishige (63')
Sep 14, 2022 11am
Gameweek 26
Vissel Kobe
2-1
FC Tokyo
Yamaguchi (11'), Kikuchi (25')
Leandro (90')
Apr 6, 2022 11am
Gameweek 7
FC Tokyo
3-1
Vissel Kobe
Adailton (55'), Morishige (57'), Oliveira (66')
Yamaguchi (12')
Aug 28, 2021 10am
rhs 2.0
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