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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Clermont Foot

Marseille
1 - 0
Clermont

Gueye (49')
Rongier (44'), Bailly (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Andric (37'), Seidu (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Marseille 3-1 Clermont

Although Clermont won the most recent meeting between the two clubs, we think that an in-form Marseille side will claim a comfortable victory to keep pace with defending champions PSG. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 63.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 16.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawClermont
63.2% (-0.064 -0.06) 20.77% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 16.04% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.36% (0.041999999999994 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.6% (0.0020000000000024 0)44.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.23% (0.0010000000000048 0)66.77% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.59% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)13.41% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.65% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)40.35% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.31% (0.060000000000002 0.06)40.69% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.72% (0.053999999999998 0.05)77.28% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 63.19%
    Clermont 16.04%
    Draw 20.77%
MarseilleDrawClermont
2-0 @ 11.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 10.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 7.38% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.63% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 3.71% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.33% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.5%
5-0 @ 1.49% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 63.19%
1-1 @ 9.86% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.46%
2-2 @ 4.45% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 20.77%
0-1 @ 4.91% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.43% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.21% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.33% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 16.04%

How you voted: Marseille vs Clermont

Marseille
88.2%
Draw
10.3%
Clermont
1.5%
68
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2022 7.45pm
Marseille
0-2
Clermont

Sampaoli (39'), Guendouzi (68'), Caleta-Car (75')
Bayo (13'), Allevinah (84')
Seidu (68'), Kyei (89')
Oct 31, 2021 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG17134046153143
2Marseille17113339201936
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon178452922728
7Lens177642116527
8Toulouse177371919024
9StrasbourgStrasbourg176563029123
10Auxerre176472426-222
11Brest177192630-422
12Reims175572325-220
13Angers175481927-819
14Rennes1752102325-217
15NantesNantes173772027-716
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1751111637-2116
17Le HavreLe Havre1740131336-2312
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512


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