Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 4 | 14 | 10 |
2 | Marseille | 4 | 7 | 10 |
3 | Lens | 4 | 5 | 10 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Montpellier HSC | 4 | 4 | 6 |
9 | Clermont | 4 | -3 | 6 |
10 | Toulouse | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 63.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 16.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Clermont |
63.2% ( -0.06) | 20.77% ( 0.02) | 16.04% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 51.36% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.6% ( 0) | 44.39% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.23% ( 0) | 66.77% ( -0) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.59% ( -0.02) | 13.41% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.65% ( -0.04) | 40.35% ( 0.04) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.31% ( 0.06) | 40.69% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.72% ( 0.05) | 77.28% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Clermont |
2-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.33% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.5% 5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 63.19% | 1-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.46% 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 1% Total : 20.77% | 0-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 16.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |