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FC Dallas
Major League Soccer
Mar 17, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
Vancouver Whitecaps

Dallas
1 - 3
Vancouver

Lletget (40')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Laborda (25'), White (29'), Picault (42')
Gauld (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-1 Dallas
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps

The Caps always seem to play well in Frisco, and given the fact they have a relatively healthy squad, who are a lot more familiar with each other, we are leaning towards them claiming another three points away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
DallasDrawVancouver Whitecaps
40.94% (-0.407 -0.41) 25.38% (0.33 0.33) 33.68% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.92% (-1.124 -1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.18% (-1.466 -1.47)47.82% (1.462 1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.99% (-1.366 -1.37)70% (1.361 1.36)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.81% (-0.84 -0.84)23.19% (0.835 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.92% (-1.241 -1.24)57.08% (1.236 1.24)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.8% (-0.663 -0.66)27.19% (0.658 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.39% (-0.869 -0.87)62.61% (0.864 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 40.94%
    Vancouver Whitecaps 33.68%
    Draw 25.38%
DallasDrawVancouver Whitecaps
1-0 @ 9.22% (0.329 0.33)
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.74% (0.078 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.28% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 40.94%
1-1 @ 12% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 6.31% (0.374 0.37)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.21% (0.342 0.34)
1-2 @ 7.81% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.35% (0.127 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.39% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.32% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 33.68%

How you voted: Dallas vs Vancouver

Dallas
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Vancouver Whitecaps
42.9%
7
Head to Head
May 18, 2023 1.30am
Mar 11, 2023 10pm
Jun 19, 2022 2am
Dallas
0-2
Vancouver
Quignon (42'), Farfan (45+2'), Velasco (54')
Cropper (90+5')
Sep 26, 2021 3am
rhs 2.0
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