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Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2024 at 3.45am UK
Banc of California Stadium
Real Salt Lake

Los Angeles
1 - 1
Salt Lake

Olivera (5')
Kamara (41'), Hollingshead (60')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vera (33')
Luna (8'), Katranis (66'), Chang (71'), Palacio (74'), Glad (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 1-5 Columbus Crew
Sunday, July 14 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 3-0 Salt Lake
Sunday, July 14 at 3.25am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 2-1 Real Salt Lake

With both teams level on 43 points, we expect Wednesday's clash to produce a closely-fought contest, but we think that LAFC could use home advantage to claim a narrow victory, especially as they have won nine of their 12 home MLS matches this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 65.34%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 16.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.25%) and 3-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawReal Salt Lake
65.34% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 18.13%16.53% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 62.24% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.16% (0.0010000000000048 0)30.84% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.8% (0.0010000000000048 0)52.2% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.09% (0.0010000000000048 0)8.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.55%30.44%
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.32% (0.0010000000000048 0)31.67% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.91% (0.0010000000000012 0)68.09% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 65.34%
    Real Salt Lake 16.53%
    Draw 18.13%
Los Angeles FCDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.48%
2-0 @ 8.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.65%
1-0 @ 6.82%
3-0 @ 6.65%
4-1 @ 4.62%
3-2 @ 4.4%
4-0 @ 4.02%
4-2 @ 2.66%
5-1 @ 2.24%
5-0 @ 1.95%
5-2 @ 1.29%
4-3 @ 1.02%
6-1 @ 0.9%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 65.34%
1-1 @ 7.84%
2-2 @ 5.45%
0-0 @ 2.82%
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 18.13%
1-2 @ 4.51%
0-1 @ 3.24%
2-3 @ 2.09%
0-2 @ 1.86%
1-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 16.53%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs Salt Lake

Los Angeles FC
72.4%
Draw
20.7%
Real Salt Lake
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 9pm
Salt Lake
3-0
Los Angeles
Gomez (18', 41'), Arango (45+5')
Ojeda (37'), Arango (59')
Ojeda (85')

Atuesta (35'), Murillo (50'), Bogusz (68')
Oct 2, 2023 1am
Los Angeles
0-1
Salt Lake

Sanchez (39'), Olivera (56'), Tillman (62'), Bogusz (67'), Palacios (78')
Arango (72')
Gomez (51'), Rubin (86'), Palacio (89')
May 14, 2023 2.30am
rhs 2.0
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