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Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Banc of California Stadium
Columbus Crew

Los Angeles
1 - 5
Columbus Crew

Ordaz (85')
Palencia (41'), Duenas (63'), Sanchez (65')
Palencia (83'), Hinestroza (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ramirez (38', 84'), Camilo Hernandez (56'), Rossi (60'), Matan (89')
Murillo (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-2 Los Angeles
Friday, July 5 at 3.40am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 4-0 Toronto
Sunday, July 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 3-1 Columbus Crew

While Columbus Crew will be looking to continue where they left off against Toronto, they will have to be at their best against an in-form Los Angeles side who have been tough to crack in recent weeks. The Black and Gold have made their June turf a fortress this season and we see them securing all three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 61.94%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 19.06% and a draw had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.62%) and 3-1 (7.39%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (5.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawColumbus Crew
61.94% (-1.286 -1.29) 19% (0.449 0.45) 19.06% (0.844 0.84)
Both teams to score 64.27% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.45% (-0.782 -0.78)30.55% (0.789 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.15% (-0.942 -0.94)51.85% (0.947 0.95)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.4% (-0.517 -0.52)9.6% (0.5229 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.9% (-1.231 -1.23)32.1% (1.236 1.24)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (0.327 0.33)28.9% (-0.322 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23% (0.402 0.4)64.77% (-0.396 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 61.94%
    Columbus Crew 19.06%
    Draw 19%
Los Angeles FCDrawColumbus Crew
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.62% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.39% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-0 @ 6.5% (0.136 0.14)
3-0 @ 5.95% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-2 @ 4.59% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.33% (-0.178 -0.18)
4-0 @ 3.49% (-0.177 -0.18)
4-2 @ 2.69% (-0.086 -0.09)
5-1 @ 2.03% (-0.133 -0.13)
5-0 @ 1.63% (-0.124 -0.12)
5-2 @ 1.26% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-3 @ 1.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 61.94%
1-1 @ 8.07% (0.239 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.091 0.09)
0-0 @ 2.78% (0.122 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 19%
1-2 @ 5.01% (0.192 0.19)
0-1 @ 3.45% (0.18 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.059 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.14% (0.13 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 19.06%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs Columbus Crew

Los Angeles FC
80.8%
Draw
15.4%
Columbus Crew
3.8%
26
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 9pm
Columbus Crew
2-1
Los Angeles
Camilo Hernandez (33' pen.), Yeboah (37')
Amundsen (61'), Rossi (90'), Morris (90+3')
Bouanga (74')
Vela (49'), Tillman (53'), Sanchez (67'), Palacios (85')
May 21, 2022 11.30pm
Columbus Crew
0-2
Los Angeles
Vela (62'), Cifuentes (73')
Acosta (35'), Ibeagha (41'), Murillo (55'), Palacios (75'), Sanchez (75'), Henry (90+5')
May 12, 2019 12.30am
Gameweek 14
Columbus Crew
0-3
Los Angeles

Trapp (27'), Guzman (43'), Santos (54')
Kaye (37'), Diomande (88'), Vela (90')
Zimmerman (28')
Jun 24, 2018 3.30am
Gameweek 19
Los Angeles
2-0
Columbus Crew
Ciman (4'), Diomande (8')
Atuesta (24')

Abubakar (34'), Santos (61'), Higuain (69'), Valenzuela (70')
rhs 2.0
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