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Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Aug 25, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
St Louis City

Portland
4 - 4
St Louis City

Rodriguez (39'), Mora (57', 65'), Evander (90+10')
Araujo (34'), Evander (65'), Rodriguez (73'), Williamson (77')
Mora (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Becher (11'), Lowen (34' pen.), Teuchert (45+2'), Thorisson (58')
Thorisson (50'), Hartel (60'), Horn (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: America 4-2 St Louis City
Wednesday, August 14 at 3.30am in Leagues Cup

We said: Portland Timbers 2-2 St Louis City

While St Louis had the home advantage when these two met in the Leagues Cup, they followed up with a very good away performance a few days later and only let the match slip away in the final 10 minutes. Portland will be tough to beat but we feel City will be able to take a share of the spoils from this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 68.24%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 14.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 3-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawSt Louis City
68.24% (0.058999999999997 0.06) 17.18% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02) 14.58% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 60.98% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.71% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)30.28% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.46% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)51.53% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.86% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)8.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.46% (0.022999999999996 0.02)28.54% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.38% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)33.62% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.73% (-0.069999999999997 -0.07)70.26% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 68.24%
    St Louis City 14.58%
    Draw 17.18%
Portland TimbersDrawSt Louis City
2-1 @ 9.38%
2-0 @ 8.61% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.2% (0.015 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.92% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 4.52% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 2.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 2.27% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.35% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-1 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-3 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
6-0 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 68.24%
1-1 @ 7.48% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 17.18%
1-2 @ 4.08% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 14.58%

How you voted: Portland vs St Louis City

Portland Timbers
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
St Louis City
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 1.30am
Round of 32
St Louis City
3-1
Portland
Teuchert (51'), Hartel (83'), Becher (88')
Bravo (54')
Aug 10, 2024 1.30am
Round of 32
St Louis City
3-1
Portland
Teuchert (51'), Hartel (83'), Becher (88')
Bravo (54')
Jun 9, 2024 1.30am
St Louis City
0-0
Portland
Nilsson (45+4'), Markanich (45+2'), Kijima (51'), Pompeu (67'), Durkin (81'), Totland (83')
Zuparic (53'), Lowen (82'), Mora (83')
Mar 12, 2023 3.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Packers
29-34
Eagles
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami27185462402259
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati27163848361251
3Columbus Crew25147452242849
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls27101254334942
5New York City FCNY City27116104036439
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2710893129238
7Orlando City27107104241137
8Toronto28103153650-1433
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2787123638-231
10Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2779114743430
11DC United2778124155-1429
12CF MontrealMontreal2769123558-2327
13Chicago Fire2768133348-1526
14Nashville SCNashville2768132644-1826
15New England RevolutionNew England2582152849-2126

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy28157653381552
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake27138653361747
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles25145648321647
4Colorado RapidsColorado2713595345844
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2512584435941
6Portland TimbersPortland2711795546940
7Houston DynamoHouston2611783731640
8Seattle SoundersSeattle2711793732540
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd27106114445-136
10Austin FCAustin2797113038-834
11Dallas2796124445-133
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas2776144452-827
13St Louis City27512103851-1327
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2752203463-2917


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