Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 23.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
53.86% ( -0.04) | 23.12% ( 0.01) | 23.01% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 55.61% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.36% ( -0) | 44.64% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33% ( -0) | 67% ( 0) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.49% ( -0.02) | 16.51% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.75% ( -0.03) | 46.24% ( 0.03) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.61% ( 0.03) | 33.39% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.98% ( 0.03) | 70.02% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
1-0 @ 9.93% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.23% 4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.46% 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 3.21% Total : 53.86% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.12% | 0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 23.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 30 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 27 |
3 | York City | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Gateshead | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Rochdale | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 24 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 18 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 17 |
14 | Tamworth | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Woking | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 16 |
16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 14 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 14 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 13 |
21 | Fylde | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 12 |
22 | Boston UnitedBoston | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 6 |
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