Umm Salal

3 - 2

Al Shamal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umm Salal win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Al Shamal had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Umm Salal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Al Shamal win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Umm Salal would win this match.