Chinese Super League | Gameweek 20
Oct 29, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Workers' Stadium
Beijing Guoan4 - 1Guangzhou
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Guangzhou.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Changchun 0-1 Beijing Guoan
Monday, October 24 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League
Monday, October 24 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
33
Last Game: Shandong 3-0 Guangzhou
Monday, October 24 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Monday, October 24 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
12
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 59.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 17.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.
Result | ||
Beijing Guoan | Draw | Guangzhou |
59.91% ( -0.02) | 22.19% ( 0.01) | 17.9% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.62% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.66% ( -0.03) | 47.34% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.44% ( -0.03) | 69.56% ( 0.02) |
Beijing Guoan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.61% ( -0.02) | 15.4% ( 0.02) |