Beijing Guoan

4 - 1

Guangzhou

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 59.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 17.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.