Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Atletico Nacional4 - 2Racing
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico Nacional 0-1 Patronato
Wednesday, June 28 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, June 28 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Racing
Saturday, July 29 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, July 29 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
36
We said: Atletico Nacional 1-1 Racing Club
With the second leg of this contest scheduled for next week, both sides look set to approach the first leg with caution, meaning that Atletico Nacional and Racing Club will likely play out a tense and cagey draw on Thursday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Nacional | Draw | Racing Club |
40.94% ( 1.1) | 26.73% ( -0.02) | 32.33% ( -1.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.13% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
