Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion Espenmoos
St Gallen4 - 1Tobol
FT(HT: 2-1)
Vallci (28' og.)
Mosiashvili (18'), Asrankulov (45+3'), Essien (62'), El Messaoudi (82'), Chesnokov (85')
Mosiashvili (18'), Asrankulov (45+3'), Essien (62'), El Messaoudi (82'), Chesnokov (85')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between St Gallen and Tobol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Winterthur 1-0 St Gallen
Saturday, July 20 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Saturday, July 20 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Tobol 1-0 Ruzomberok
Thursday, July 18 at 4pm in Europa League
Thursday, July 18 at 4pm in Europa League
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Servette | 5 | 2.50 | Crivelli |
| 2 | Lausanne | 3 | 3.00 | Diabate |
| 3 | Basel | 2 | 2.00 | Barry |
| 4 | FC Zurich | 2 | 2.00 | Emmanuel |
| 5 | Lugano | 2 | 2.00 | Bislimi |
| 6 | Sion | 2 | 2.00 | Chouaref |
| 7 | Young Boys | 2 | 1.00 | Ganvoula |
| 8 | Winterthur | 1 | 1.00 | Di Giusto |
| 9 | Grasshopper | 1 | 1.00 | Morandi |
| 10 | Luzern | 1 | 1.00 | Villiger |
| 11 | St Gallen | 0 | 0.00 | |
| 12 | Yverdon Sport | 0 | 0.00 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 54.45%. A win for Tobol had a probability of 23.56% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Tobol win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Gallen | Draw | Tobol |
54.45% ( 0) | 21.98% ( -0.02) | 23.56% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.25% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
