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Championship header 2

League One
Oxford United
League One | 1st Leg
May 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Peterborough United

Oxford Utd
1 - 0
Peterborough

Moore (53')
Rodrigues (30'), Bennett (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mason-Clark (76'), Katongo (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 27 at 12.30pm in League One

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last Game: Peterborough 3-3 Bolton
Saturday, April 27 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Peterborough United

 Oxford have already beaten Peterborough at the Kassam Stadium this month, and while we do not think that the score will be as wide as the recent 5-0 scoreline, we believe that the U's will make use of home advantage to record a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawPeterborough United
36.79% (-0.264 -0.26) 23.82% (0.061 0.06) 39.39% (0.207 0.21)
Both teams to score 62.13% (-0.244 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.01% (-0.31 -0.31)39.99% (0.313 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.64% (-0.32100000000001 -0.32)62.35% (0.324 0.32)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19% (-0.27000000000001 -0.27)21.81% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.98% (-0.414 -0.41)55.02% (0.41800000000001 0.42)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)20.54% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95% (-0.058 -0.06)53.05% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 36.79%
    Peterborough United 39.39%
    Draw 23.81%
Oxford UnitedDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.82% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.64% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 36.79%
1-1 @ 10.79% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.48% (0.065 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 8.55% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.09% (0.093 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.61% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.51% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.43% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.96% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.36% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 39.39%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Peterborough

Oxford United
65.6%
Draw
15.6%
Peterborough United
18.8%
32
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Oxford Utd
5-0
Peterborough
Harris (19' pen.), Murphy (31'), Rodrigues (38', 58'), Bodin (89')

Katongo (18')
> Preview
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Peterborough
3-0
Oxford Utd
Kyprianou (23'), Jade-Jones (34'), De Havilland (90+2')
Kioso (60')

Bodin (63')
> Preview
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Peterborough
0-0
Oxford Utd
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Oxford Utd
1-2
Peterborough
Bodin (52')
Taylor (7'), Poku (31')
> Preview
Jul 27, 2021 5.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Oxford Utd
0-0
Peterborough
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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