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Championship header 2

League One
Oxford United
League One | 1st Leg
May 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Peterborough United

Oxford Utd
1 - 0
Peterborough

Moore (53')
Rodrigues (30'), Bennett (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mason-Clark (76'), Katongo (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 27 at 12.30pm in League One

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last Game: Peterborough 3-3 Bolton
Saturday, April 27 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Peterborough United

 Oxford have already beaten Peterborough at the Kassam Stadium this month, and while we do not think that the score will be as wide as the recent 5-0 scoreline, we believe that the U's will make use of home advantage to record a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawPeterborough United
36.79% (-0.264 -0.26) 23.82% (0.061 0.06) 39.39% (0.207 0.21)
Both teams to score 62.13% (-0.244 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.01% (-0.31 -0.31)39.99% (0.313 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.64% (-0.32100000000001 -0.32)62.35% (0.324 0.32)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19% (-0.27000000000001 -0.27)21.81% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.98% (-0.414 -0.41)55.02% (0.41800000000001 0.42)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)20.54% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95% (-0.058 -0.06)53.05% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 36.79%
    Peterborough United 39.39%
    Draw 23.81%
Oxford UnitedDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.82% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.64% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 36.79%
1-1 @ 10.79% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.48% (0.065 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 8.55% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.09% (0.093 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.61% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.51% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.43% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.96% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.36% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 39.39%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Peterborough

Oxford United
65.6%
Draw
15.6%
Peterborough United
18.8%
32
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Oxford Utd
5-0
Peterborough
Harris (19' pen.), Murphy (31'), Rodrigues (38', 58'), Bodin (89')

Katongo (18')
> Preview
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Peterborough
3-0
Oxford Utd
Kyprianou (23'), Jade-Jones (34'), De Havilland (90+2')
Kioso (60')

Bodin (63')
> Preview
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Peterborough
0-0
Oxford Utd
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Oxford Utd
1-2
Peterborough
Bodin (52')
Taylor (7'), Poku (31')
> Preview
Jul 27, 2021 5.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Oxford Utd
0-0
Peterborough
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham36258359243583
2Wrexham38228852302274
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe372011664362871
4Charlton AthleticCharlton381991049351466
5Stockport CountyStockport381811953351865
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield371871252341861
7Bolton WanderersBolton37186135955460
8Reading371611105246659
9Leyton Orient371751553381556
10Blackpool381315105750754
11Barnsley38158155254-253
12Lincoln CityLincoln381311145345850
13Stevenage371310143538-349
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham37129164245-345
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough37129165660-445
16Exeter CityExeter37129164051-1145
17Mansfield TownMansfield37128174351-844
18Wigan AthleticWigan361110153336-343
19Northampton TownNorthampton381012163756-1942
20Bristol Rovers38126203961-2242
21Burton Albion37812173853-1536
22Crawley TownCrawley3889214071-3133
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3879223662-2630
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3777233462-2828
> League One Full Table


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