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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
30.32% (![]() | 27.54% (![]() | 42.13% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.96% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.5% (![]() | 57.49% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.71% (![]() | 78.28% (![]() |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.64% (![]() | 34.35% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.94% (![]() | 71.06% (![]() |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.06% (![]() | 26.93% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.73% (![]() | 62.27% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 9.89% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.93% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.28% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.88% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.62% ( ![]() Other @ 2.26% Total : 30.32% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 9.25% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.54% ( ![]() Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.53% | 0-1 @ 12.13% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.51% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.96% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.72% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 1.98% Total : 42.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 69 |
2 | Bradford CityBradford | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 66 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 62 |
4 | Notts County | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 61 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 25 | 22 | 60 |
6 | Port Vale | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 58 |
7 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 56 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 36 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 51 | 53 | -2 | 56 |
9 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 36 | 13 | 16 | 7 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Bromley | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 52 |
11 | Salford City | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 50 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 49 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 49 |
14 | Chesterfield | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 43 | 13 | 48 |
15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 46 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 43 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 |
18 | MK Dons | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 42 |
19 | Gillingham | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 41 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 40 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 39 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 33 |
23 | Morecambe | 36 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 31 | 54 | -23 | 29 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25 | 51 | -26 | 27 |
> League Two Full Table |