Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Oct 5, 2024 at 4am UK
Estadio Caliente
Tijuana2 - 1Pachuca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and Pachuca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tijuana 1-0 Mazatlan
Saturday, September 28 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Saturday, September 28 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Pachuca 2-4 Cruz Azul
Sunday, September 29 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Sunday, September 29 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
10
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Tijuana would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club Tijuana | Draw | Pachuca |
40.84% ( 0.09) | 25.86% ( 0.04) | 33.31% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 54.21% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.02% ( -0.2) | 49.98% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.04% ( -0.18) | 71.96% ( 0.18) |
| Club Tijuana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.8% ( -0.05) | 24.2% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.46% ( -0.06) | 58.53% ( 0.06) |
| Pachuca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.52% ( -0.18) | 28.48% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.75% ( -0.22) | 64.25% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
Club Tijuana 40.84%
Pachuca 33.31%
Draw 25.86%
| Club Tijuana | Draw | Pachuca |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.87% Total : 40.84% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 33.31% |
