Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 21, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Comendador Agostinho Prada
Fortaleza3 - 1Rosario
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bragantino 1-2 Fortaleza
Saturday, August 17 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, August 17 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
29
Last Game: Independiente 1-0 Rosario
Saturday, August 17 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, August 17 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
28
We said: Fortaleza 1-0 Rosario Central (Fortaleza advance 2-1 on aggregate)
The Brazilians have a lot of momentum at home heading into this contest, and their recent experience in these must-win games should propel them to a narrow triumph. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 14.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.45%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Rosario Central |
63.02% ( 0.01) | 22.89% ( -0.01) | 14.09% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 40.78% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
