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FA Cup
Barnet
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Hive Stadium

Barnet
1 - 1
Chelmsford City

Wynter (49')
Walker (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ruff (90+2')
Vaz (45')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Barnet and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnet

All competitions
Last Game: Barnet 0-3 Southend
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League

Chelmsford City

All competitions
Last Game: Bath City 0-1 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 37.61% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.17%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
BarnetDrawChelmsford City
38.4% (-0.012 -0.01) 23.98% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 37.61% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 61.54% (0.11 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.23% (0.141 0.14)40.77% (-0.145 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.84% (0.145 0.14)63.15% (-0.148 -0.15)
Barnet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.64% (0.055000000000007 0.06)21.35% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.68% (0.087999999999994 0.09)54.32% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.25% (0.081999999999994 0.08)21.74% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.08% (0.127 0.13)54.92% (-0.13 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Barnet 38.4%
    Chelmsford City 37.61%
    Draw 23.97%
BarnetDrawChelmsford City
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 7.17% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.53% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.32% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.85% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 38.4%
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.44% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.64% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.97%
1-2 @ 8.35% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 7.08% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.25% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.28% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.62% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.25% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 37.61%

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> Premier League Full Table


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