Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 58.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 19.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Houston Dynamo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Houston Dynamo.
Result | ||
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Charlotte FC |
58.88% ( 0.06) | 21.81% ( -0.01) | 19.31% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 54.44% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.46% ( -0.01) | 43.55% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.06% ( -0.01) | 65.94% ( 0.02) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.55% ( 0.02) | 14.45% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.59% ( 0.03) | 42.41% ( -0.02) |
Charlotte FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.64% ( -0.05) | 36.37% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.85% ( -0.05) | 73.15% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Charlotte FC |
1-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.41% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 58.88% | 1-1 @ 10.28% 0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.81% | 0-1 @ 5.32% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 19.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 62 | 40 | 22 | 59 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 51 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 49 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 43 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 39 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 38 |
7 | Orlando City | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 37 |
8 | Toronto | 28 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 33 |
9 | DC United | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 32 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 31 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 30 |
12 | New England RevolutionNew England | 26 | 8 | 3 | 15 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 27 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 27 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 50 | -16 | 26 |
15 | Nashville SCNashville | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 26 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 48 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 53 | 36 | 17 | 47 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 44 |
5 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 42 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 41 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 55 | 46 | 9 | 40 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 36 |
10 | Dallas | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 34 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 34 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 28 |
13 | St Louis City | 28 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 28 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 34 | 63 | -29 | 17 |