Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Maidenhead United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
40.77% ( -1.4) | 24.95% ( -0.08) | 34.29% ( 1.48) |
Both teams to score 57.56% ( 0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.24% ( 0.77) | 45.76% ( -0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.92% ( 0.72) | 68.08% ( -0.72) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.62% ( -0.34) | 22.38% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.12% ( -0.51) | 55.88% ( 0.51) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.16% ( 1.27) | 25.85% ( -1.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.19% ( 1.69) | 60.82% ( -1.68) |
Score Analysis |
Maidenhead United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 40.77% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.95% | 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.49% Total : 34.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 52 |
2 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 38 |
10 | Eastleigh | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 26 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 24 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 63 | -43 | 11 |
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