MX23RW : Saturday, January 11 07:56:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
3 - 1
Caernarfon

Flint (45+4'), Evans (72', 86')
Huxley (37'), Hartley (39'), Bradford (45+5'), Walsh (45'), Bradford (84')
Hartley (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lloyd (85')
Patterson (90+1'), Mooney (90+7')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Flint Town 3-0 Aberystwyth
Wednesday, December 4 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 3-2 Barry
Saturday, December 14 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 51.13%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawCaernarfon Town
25.57% (0.918 0.92) 23.3% (0.053000000000001 0.05) 51.13% (-0.976 -0.98)
Both teams to score 57.93% (0.788 0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.08% (0.59800000000001 0.6)42.92% (-0.602 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.68% (0.591 0.59)65.32% (-0.59399999999999 -0.59)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.68% (1.059 1.06)30.32% (-1.062 -1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.49% (1.245 1.25)66.51% (-1.249 -1.25)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.14% (-0.137 -0.14)16.86% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.12% (-0.239 -0.24)46.88% (0.235 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 25.57%
    Caernarfon Town 51.13%
    Draw 23.3%
Aberystwyth TownDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 6.48% (0.176 0.18)
1-0 @ 6.1% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.64% (0.115 0.12)
3-1 @ 2.58% (0.143 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.117 0.12)
3-0 @ 1.45% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 25.57%
1-1 @ 10.86% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.77% (0.132 0.13)
0-0 @ 5.11% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.3%
1-2 @ 9.67% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
0-1 @ 9.1% (-0.286 -0.29)
0-2 @ 8.1% (-0.292 -0.29)
1-3 @ 5.74% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 4.81% (-0.195 -0.19)
2-3 @ 3.42% (0.063 0.06)
1-4 @ 2.55% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 2.14% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.52% (0.022 0.02)
1-5 @ 0.91% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 51.13%

Head to Head
Oct 15, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Caernarfon
1-4
Aberystwyth
Clarke (90+1')
Owen (37')
Evans (23'), Bradford (29'), Flint (34', 82')
Flint (69'), Flint (73'), Jones (81')
Lewis (69')
Oct 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Caernarfon
3-0
Aberystwyth
Clarke (59' pen.), Davies (66'), Lloyd (85')
Cartwright (4'), Donohue (63'), Gosset (78')

Thorn (28'), H (82')
Sep 9, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Aberystwyth
2-4
Caernarfon
Owen (4'), Lewis (26')
Bradford (40'), Jones (66')
Clarke (6', 19'), Davies (71', 90+2')
Lloyd (34')
Apr 22, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
Aberystwyth
3-2
Caernarfon
Arnison (39'), Cadwallader (55'), Flint (90+4')
Hughes (2'), Bell (45+1')
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Caernarfon
0-1
Aberystwyth
Flint (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
9.30pm
Chargers
@
Texans
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints21160559263348
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont21145240152547
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest21116428101839
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU219573227532
5Bala TownBala Town2061132619729
6Barry Town UnitedBarry218583137-629
7Caernarfon TownCaernarfon208483035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay217593224826
9Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2162132744-1720
10Newtown AFCNewtown2154122344-2119
11Briton Ferry2153132744-1718
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2142151747-3014
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!