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Sao Paulo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 21
Sep 19, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio do Morumbi

Sao Paulo
2 - 1
Atletico GO

Rigoni (36'), Luciano (56')
Pele (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Barbosa (71')
Maranhao (27'), Natanael (86')

Preview: Sao Paulo vs. Atletico Goianiense - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Atletico Goianiense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Atletico Goianiense will look to stretch their unbeaten run to eight league games on Sunday, when they travel to take on Sao Paulo.

The visitors' revival has seen them rise back up to 10th spot in the Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A table, while the hosts were recently brought back down to earth after previously recording three straight league wins.


Match preview

Sao Paulo coach Hernan Crespo during the match on May 5, 2021© Reuters

Having failed to find consistency so far this season, Sao Paulo remain in 15th spot heading into Sunday's clash, on the back of a defeat and a draw in their last two league outings.

Hernan Crespo's side looked to have turned a corner recently, as they held title-chasing Palmeiras to a goalless draw before picking up 2-1 wins over Athletico Paranaense and Gremio.

The Tricolor Paulista then made it three straight victories as Pablo netted the only goal in their trip to Sport Recife, but their winning run was stopped when Juventude arrived and held them to a 1-1 draw, before Crespo's men were defeated 2-1 at Fluminense in their most recent league outing.

Following that defeat, Sao Paulo took on Fortaleza in the Copa do Brasil quarter-final last time out, and they were handed a 3-1 defeat as Gabriel Sara only netted a consolation goal in the 95th minute.

Now sitting just one point above the relegation zone and without a victory in four games in all competitions, Crespo will be desperate to see his side reverse their fortunes, but they face a tough task against an Atletico Goianiense side who have proven themselves to be difficult to beat.

Sao Paulo's Gabriel Sara celebrates scoring their second goal with Martin Benitez on June 23, 2021© Reuters

After a strong start to the season, Sunday's visitors quickly suffered a slip down the table, dropping to 13th spot in July, but they have managed to turn their form around since then.

Eduardo Barroca's men have now lost just one of their last 11 games in the Brazilian top flight, and are without a defeat in their last seven outings, having collected 11 points in that time.

They come into Sunday's game on the back of three straight draws, most recently earning a late point against Corinthians, as Ze Roberto hit an 89th-minute equaliser after their opponents looked set to see out a 1-0 victory.

Having already climbed back up to 10th spot, the Dragao now sit just two points behind seventh-placed Fluminiense, meaning they could enjoy a further rise if they can extend their current unbeaten run and make a return to winning ways on Sunday.

Sao Paulo Brasileiro form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L

Sao Paulo form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L

Atletico Goianiense Brasileiro form:
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D

Atletico Goianiense form (all competitions):
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D



Team News

Sao Paulo's Luan celebrates scoring their first goal against Palmeiras, pictured on August 10, 2021© Reuters

Sao Paulo have several injury issues to deal with, as Marquinhos and William da Silva are both ruled out, although defender Robert Arboleda and attacker Emiliano Rigoni both recently returned from spells on the sidelines.

Both should again feature on Sunday, with Arboleda lining up alongside Miranda and Leo in a back three.

Rigoni should again lead the line with the support of Martin Benitez, while the likes of Pablo, Luciano and Eder will all battle for the final striker spot.

Atletico Goianiense's only absentee should be midfielder Marlon Freitas, who continues to recover from an injury.

Natanael returned to the side last time out after being ineligible to play against his parent club, and the winger will again play a key role on Sunday.

Their line will be led by the threatening duo of Ze Roberto and Joao Paulo, with the pair having netted a combined tally of five goals in the last eight games despite both spending time out of action through suspensions in that period.

Sao Paulo possible starting lineup:
Volpi; Arboleda, Miranda, Leo; Vinicius, Sara, Nestor, Reinaldo; Benitez; Rigoni, Eder

Atletico Goianiense possible starting lineup:
Fernando; Dudu, Wanderson, Eder, Carius; De Almeida, Baralhas, Maranhao, Natanael; Roberto, Paulo


SM words green background

We say: Sao Paulo 1-2 Atletico Goianiense

While Atletico Goianiense have built plenty of confidence with their recent run, their hosts have struggled, and we see those trends continuing with an away win on Sunday.

Barroca's established starting XI boasts plenty of quality and works as a well-oiled machine with limited changes, potentially seeing them outclass a Sao Paulo side lacking momentum as a result.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:data



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Written by
Sam Varley

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 18.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.


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Palmeiras team huddle before the match on June 28, 2021
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030


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