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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2024 at 2pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Napoli logo

Cagliari
1 - 1
Napoli

Luvumbo (90+6')
Lapadula (36'), Luvumbo (48'), Nandez (68'), Deiola (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Osimhen (65')
Olivera (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Cagliari
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Barcelona
Wednesday, February 21 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Cagliari 1-2 Napoli

After grinding out a draw with Barcelona, having both a new boss and star striker Victor Osimhen back in the fold should help Napoli to overcome Cagliari once again. The hosts have been unstable defensively, so even the champions' goal-shy attack can thrive on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
CagliariDrawNapoli
28.47% (0.050999999999998 0.05) 25.31% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 46.22% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 53.72% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.42% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)49.59% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.39% (-0.041 -0.04)71.61% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4% (0.016000000000005 0.02)31.6% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99% (0.015999999999998 0.02)68.01% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.54% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)21.46% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.51% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)54.49% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 28.47%
    Napoli 46.21%
    Draw 25.31%
CagliariDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 7.81% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.93% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.5% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.66% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.05%
3-0 @ 1.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 28.47%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.78% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 10.43%
1-2 @ 9.25% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.03% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.75% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.83% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.59% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 46.21%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Napoli

Cagliari
20.0%
Draw
10.0%
Napoli
70.0%
70
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Napoli
2-1
Cagliari
Osimhen (69'), Kvaratskhelia (75')
Osimhen (45'), Rrahmani (45+4'), Rui (85'), Politano (88'), Zambo Anguissa (90+1')
Pavoletti (72')
Goldaniga (45+2'), Pavoletti (45+2'), Augello (63')
Feb 21, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 26
Cagliari
1-1
Napoli
Pereiro (58')
Pedro (35')
Osimhen (87')
Malcuit (42'), Koulibaly (64')
Sep 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Napoli
2-0
Cagliari
Osimhen (11'), Insigne (57' pen.)
Osimhen (66'), Elmas (76')
May 2, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 34
Napoli
1-1
Cagliari
Osimhen (13')
Demme (56')
Nandez (90+4')
Godin (32'), Deiola (34'), Pavoletti (46')
Jan 3, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 15
Cagliari
1-4
Napoli
Pedro (60')
Lykogiannis (30'), Sottil (53'), Caligara (85')
Lykogiannis (65')
Zielinski (25', 62'), Lozano (74'), Insigne (86' pen.)
Zielinski (72')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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