Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Frosinone in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Frosinone.
Result | ||
Frosinone | Draw | Hellas Verona |
43.91% ( -0.32) | 26.37% ( 0.05) | 29.72% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 51.15% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.72% ( -0.07) | 53.28% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.17% ( -0.06) | 74.83% ( 0.06) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.88% ( -0.19) | 24.12% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.58% ( -0.27) | 58.42% ( 0.27) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.41% ( 0.17) | 32.59% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.87% ( 0.19) | 69.13% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Frosinone | Draw | Hellas Verona |
1-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.66% Total : 43.91% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |