Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland Under-21s win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Slovakia Under-21s had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Slovakia Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Switzerland Under-21s would win this match.
