Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2025 at 6pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lille1 - 2Le Havre
We said: Lille 4-0 Le Havre
The home fans will hope the shellshock of Tuesday night's defeat will have worn off in time for this one, where Lille will be big favourites to bolster their top-four push, against the relegation candidates. Le Havre have taken more points away from home (eight) than they have managed at home this season (six), but at a venue where they barely manage to score a goal, never mind record a victory, this could be a long evening for the basement boys. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 74.16%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 9.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.87%) and 3-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Le Havre |
74.16% ( 0.06) | 16.36% ( -0.01) | 9.48% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 46.28% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
