Rayo Vallecano

2 - 1

Sabadell

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 57.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Sabadell had a probability of 18.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Sabadell win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.