Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 0-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Jong AZ in this match.