Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 70.79%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 12.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-3 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 2-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
0.36) 
-1.1) 
