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EFL Cup | Round of 16
Dec 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Molineux Stadium
Gillingham

Wolves
2 - 0
Gillingham

Jimenez (77' pen.), Ait-Nouri (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cadiz 3-4 Wolves
Wednesday, December 14 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Gillingham 3-2 Dag & Red
Thursday, December 8 at 7.15pm in FA Cup

We said: Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-1 Gillingham

Despite the gulf in class between these two teams, do not necessarily expect a one-sided contest. However, while Wolves may require some time to get up to speed under Lopetegui, we still expect the hosts to edge this contest by a narrow scoreline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 59.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 17.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawGillingham
59.17% (0.432 0.43) 23.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 17.26% (-0.407 -0.41)
Both teams to score 45.38% (-0.675 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.26% (-0.499 -0.5)53.75% (0.508 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.78% (-0.422 -0.42)75.23% (0.42999999999999 0.43)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.1% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)17.9% (0.031000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.3% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)48.7% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.27% (-0.802 -0.8)44.73% (0.809 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.29% (-0.651 -0.65)80.71% (0.65899999999999 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 59.16%
    Gillingham 17.26%
    Draw 23.57%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 13.77% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 11.84% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.79% (0.114 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.92% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 59.16%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.01% (0.158 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 23.57%
0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.46% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.59% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 17.26%

How you voted: Wolves vs Gillingham

Wolverhampton Wanderers
74.4%
Draw
11.6%
Gillingham
14.0%
86
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2013 3pm
Wolves
4-0
Gillingham
Griffiths (4', 68' pen.), Evans (24'), Sako (30')
Feb 19, 2005 3pm
Wolves
2-2
Gillingham
Miller (60'), Clarke (90')
Naylor (90')
Flynn (89'), Henderson (55')
Southall (54')
Oct 30, 2004 3pm
Gillingham
1-0
Wolves
Jarvis (18')
Hessenthaler (13'), Sidibe (38')
Cox (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal24148249222750
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Chelsea24127547311643
5Manchester CityMan City24125748351341
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2494114242031
12Crystal Palace247982830-230
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham2476112946-1727
16Everton236892328-526
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


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