Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 47.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 26.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.