Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Forest Green Rovers in this match.
