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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Rochdale
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Barrow

Rochdale
2 - 1
Barrow

Kelly (18'), Quigley (75')
Diagouraga (28'), Ball (90'), O'Donnell (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Canavan (89')
Warren (85'), Canavan (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 0-1 Rochdale
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Rochdale 1-2 Barrow

Rochdale are yet to win at home this season, and will be increasingly desperate to try to change that as time goes on. Nonetheless, Barrow have started the season strongly, and will be looking to get back on track here, so we are predicting a narrow, Josh Gordon-inspired victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawBarrow
39.06% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 27.91%33.02% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.73% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.81% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)58.18% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)78.83% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (-0.012 -0.01)28.98% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.12% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)64.87% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.21% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)32.79% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.35% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 39.05%
    Barrow 33.02%
    Draw 27.91%
RochdaleDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 8.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.36% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 39.05%
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 9.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.91%
0-1 @ 10.59%
1-2 @ 7.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 33.02%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Barrow

Rochdale
62.5%
Draw
0.0%
Barrow
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Rochdale
0-0
Barrow

Dorsett (68'), Broadbent (84')

Banks (45+2'), Sea (86')
Oct 30, 2021 3.30pm
Barrow
1-2
Rochdale
Banks (56')
Gordon (53'), Brown (58'), Platt (90+3')
Beesley (28', 72')
Graham (53'), Odoh (85')
Jan 7, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall29185655322359
2Notts County29158647281953
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster3015784437752
4Bradford CityBradford29148739281150
5AFC Wimbledon28147739201949
6Port Vale29131063832649
7Salford City3013983829948
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe30121263628848
9Grimsby Town30143134246-445
10Chesterfield29119948341442
11Colchester UnitedColchester2991373530540
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood2810993935439
13Bromley3091294040039
14MK Dons29115134241138
15Swindon TownSwindon31911114647-138
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham29108113741-438
17Newport CountyNewport29106134047-736
18BarrowBarrow2997133032-234
19Gillingham2895142532-732
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2879123445-1130
21Harrogate TownHarrogate3186172542-1730
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2968152148-2726
23Morecambe3065192748-2123
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2956182348-2521


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