Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 56.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nice in this match.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Toulouse |
56.16% (![]() | 23.94% (![]() | 19.9% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.73% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.36% (![]() | 51.63% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.58% (![]() | 73.42% (![]() |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.77% | 18.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.74% | 49.26% (![]() |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.59% (![]() | 40.41% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.97% (![]() | 77.02% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Toulouse |
1-0 @ 12.53% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.67% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.67% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.06% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.49% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 3.29% Total : 56.15% | 1-1 @ 11.36% 0-0 @ 7.37% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.38% ( ![]() Other @ 0.83% Total : 23.93% | 0-1 @ 6.67% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.15% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 1.26% Total : 19.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 58 | 20 | 38 | 53 |
2 | Marseille | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 40 |
3 | Nice | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 37 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 37 |
5 | Lille | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 |
6 | Lens | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 |
7 | Brest | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 31 |
8 | Lyon | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 30 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 26 |
11 | Auxerre | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 23 |
12 | Angers | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
13 | Reims | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 21 |
15 | Rennes | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 20 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 18 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 17 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |