Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.