Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | Atlanta United |
47.63% ( 1.46) | 23.09% ( -0.19) | 29.29% ( -1.27) |
Both teams to score 61.87% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.88% ( 0.16) | 39.12% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.55% ( 0.17) | 61.45% ( -0.16) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.27% ( 0.62) | 16.73% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.35% ( 1.09) | 46.65% ( -1.09) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.3% ( -0.72) | 25.7% ( 0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.38% ( -0.99) | 60.62% ( 1) |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | Atlanta United |
2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.28% Total : 47.63% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.42% Total : 29.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 62 | 40 | 22 | 59 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 51 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 49 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 43 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 39 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 38 |
7 | Orlando City | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 37 |
8 | Toronto | 28 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 33 |
9 | DC United | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 32 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 31 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 30 |
12 | New England RevolutionNew England | 26 | 8 | 3 | 15 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 27 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 27 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 50 | -16 | 26 |
15 | Nashville SCNashville | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 26 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 48 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 53 | 36 | 17 | 47 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 44 |
5 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 42 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 41 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 55 | 46 | 9 | 40 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 36 |
10 | Dallas | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 34 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 34 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 28 |
13 | St Louis City | 28 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 28 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 34 | 63 | -29 | 17 |