Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 56.48%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 22.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 1-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.
Result | ||
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
56.48% ( -0.08) | 21.38% ( 0.04) | 22.14% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 60.49% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.35% ( -0.11) | 37.66% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.11% ( -0.12) | 59.89% ( 0.13) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.75% ( -0.06) | 13.25% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.97% ( -0.13) | 40.03% ( 0.13) |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.73% ( -0.02) | 30.27% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.56% ( -0.03) | 66.44% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.75% Total : 56.48% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.38% | 1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 22.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 72 | 47 | 25 | 68 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 62 | 36 | 26 | 57 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 32 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 55 | 44 | 11 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 49 |
5 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 47 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 47 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 45 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 37 |
10 | DC United | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 66 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Toronto | 33 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 40 | 60 | -20 | 37 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 51 | -17 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 31 | 9 | 4 | 18 | 34 | 62 | -28 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 61 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 55 | 41 | 14 | 55 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 53 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 51 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 59 | 56 | 3 | 50 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 47 |
8 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 46 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 64 | 55 | 9 | 45 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Dallas | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 37 |
12 | St Louis City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 46 | 59 | -13 | 34 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 32 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 40 | 74 | -34 | 21 |