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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Sep 15, 2024 at 1.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Real Salt Lake

Houston
4 - 1
Salt Lake

Bassi (27'), Dorsey (45+3'), Kowalczyk (75'), Ponce (81')
Steres (24'), Ponce (38')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sviatchenko (49' og.)
Arango (31'), Katranis (63'), Glad (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 0-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-0 New England
Sunday, September 1 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 2-1 Real Salt Lake

The last seven meetings between Houston Dynamo and Real Salt Lake have produced a combined 22 goals and we expect another end-to-end affair at the Shell Energy Stadium this weekend. Olsen's men boast a dominant home record against the Clarets and Cobalt and we are backing them to come away with the desired result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 56.48%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 22.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 1-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawReal Salt Lake
56.48% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08) 21.38% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 22.14% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 60.49% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.35% (-0.112 -0.11)37.66% (0.115 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.11% (-0.121 -0.12)59.89% (0.125 0.13)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.75% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)13.25% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.97% (-0.125 -0.13)40.03% (0.128 0.13)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)30.27% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.56% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)66.44% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 56.48%
    Real Salt Lake 22.14%
    Draw 21.38%
Houston DynamoDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.11% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.6% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.33% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.79% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.35% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 56.48%
1-1 @ 9.69% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 4.01% (0.022 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.38%
1-2 @ 5.79% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.79% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.86% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 22.14%

How you voted: Houston vs Salt Lake

Houston Dynamo
63.6%
Draw
27.3%
Real Salt Lake
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2024 2am
Group Stage
Houston
3-0
Salt Lake
Herrera (7'), Micael (24'), Glad (42' og.)
Ponce (62')
Jul 4, 2024 2.30am
Salt Lake
3-2
Houston
Gomez (22'), Luna (42'), Ojeda (67')
Ojeda (77'), Eneli (90+2')
Ibrahim (8'), Brody (55' og.)
Blessing (5'), Escobar (90+2')
Nov 11, 2023 11pm
Houston
1-1
Salt Lake
(Aggregate 1-1 | Houston win 4-3 on penalties)
Baird (28')
Baird (20')
Luna (65')
Savarino (46'), Arango (66'), Vera (72')
Nov 7, 2023 2am
Salt Lake
1-1
Houston
(Aggregate 1-1 | Salt Lake win 5-4 on penalties)
Savarino (70')
Glad (27'), Ojeda (33'), Vera (52')
Bassi (28')
Clark (16'), Bassi (17'), Dorsey (48'), Carrasquilla (69'), Sviatchenko (71')
Oct 29, 2023 10pm
Houston
2-1
Salt Lake
Herrera (22'), Bassi (79')
Escobar (90+5'), Carrasquilla (90+7')
Luna (54')
Oviedo (44'), Julio (82')
rhs 2.0
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami32208472472568
2Columbus Crew31169662362657
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati321751055441156
4Orlando City32147115547849
5New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls32111475245747
6New York City FCNY City32138115146547
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC32129114137445
8CF MontrealMontreal321010124662-1640
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia32910135950937
10DC United32910135066-1637
11Toronto33114184060-2037
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta32810144247-534
13Nashville SCNashville3289153451-1733
14New England RevolutionNew England3194183462-2831
15Chicago Fire3379174059-1930

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy32187766471961
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles31167855411455
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake321411762471553
4Seattle SoundersSeattle32158949341553
5Houston DynamoHouston32149945351051
6Colorado RapidsColorado32155125956350
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver31138105044647
8Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd32137125348546
9Portland TimbersPortland32129116455945
10Austin FCAustin32109133544-939
11Dallas32107155255-337
12St Louis City32713124659-1334
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3287175061-1131
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3263234074-3421


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