MX23RW : Saturday, February 8 18:43:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
Larne
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 6
Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
4 - 0
Newry City AFC

O'Neill (4'), Ives (41', 76'), Glynn (43')
Donnelly (7'), Orozco (15')
FT(HT: 3-0)

O'Connor (7'), Forde (64'), Healy (66')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Newry City AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cliftonville 1-1 Larne
Saturday, August 26 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-4 Crusaders
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 70.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 11.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
LarneDrawNewry City AFC
70.05% (0.093000000000004 0.09) 18.33% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 11.63% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 47.37% (-0.185 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.6% (-0.116 -0.12)43.4% (0.12 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.21% (-0.115 -0.12)65.8% (0.11999999999999 0.12)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.81% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)11.2% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.29% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)35.71% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.35% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)46.66% (0.206 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.78% (-0.154 -0.15)82.23% (0.15900000000001 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Larne 70.04%
    Newry City AFC 11.63%
    Draw 18.33%
LarneDrawNewry City AFC
2-0 @ 12.52% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-0 @ 11.43% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 9.14% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.82% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.67% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 70.04%
1-1 @ 8.72% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.22% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.64% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 18.33%
0-1 @ 3.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 3.32% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.52% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 11.63%

Head to Head
Jan 29, 2023 3pm
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Larne
2-0
Newry City AFC
Sule (12'), Cosgrove (49')
Oct 7, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Newry City AFC
0-2
Larne
Millar (60'), Randall (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield27194452213161
2GlentoranGlentoran25135731211044
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon27124113732540
4CrusadersCrusaders28124123539-440
5LarneLarne22116527171039
6PortadownPortadown26115103330338
7CliftonvilleCliftonville25105103127435
8ColeraineColeraine269893936335
9Ballymena UnitedBallymena25103123033-333
10GlenavonGlenavon2587102633-731
11Carrick RangersCarrick2657142238-1622
12Loughgall2634192561-3613


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