Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Venezia |
46.4% ( -0.2) | 25.35% ( -0.03) | 28.24% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 53.42% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.09% ( 0.24) | 49.91% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.1% ( 0.22) | 71.9% ( -0.22) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.49% ( 0.01) | 21.51% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.43% ( 0.02) | 54.57% ( -0.02) |
Venezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.06% ( 0.3) | 31.94% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.6% ( 0.34) | 68.4% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Venezia |
1-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 46.4% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 28.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
8 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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