Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shijiazhuang Ever Bright win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Chongqing Dangdai Lifan had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shijiazhuang Ever Bright win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Chongqing Dangdai Lifan win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.