Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 19, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental
Universitario3 - 2Independiente
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Independiente del Valle win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universitario would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Universitario | Draw | Independiente del Valle |
| 45.54% | 24.46% | 29.99% |
| Both teams to score 57.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
