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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Sheffield United had a probability of 21.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Sheffield United win it was 1-2 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Sheffield United |
56.03% ( 0.09) | 22.48% ( -0.09) | 21.49% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 55.68% ( 0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.43% ( 0.38) | 43.56% ( -0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.04% ( 0.37) | 65.96% ( -0.38) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.61% ( 0.16) | 15.38% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.82% ( 0.3) | 44.18% ( -0.31) |
Sheffield United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.8% ( 0.21) | 34.19% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.11% ( 0.23) | 70.89% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Sheffield United |
2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.75% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 56.03% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.47% | 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.13% Total : 21.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
17 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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