Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
Koning Willem II Stadion
Willem II2 - 1MVV
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Willem II and MVV Maastricht.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Willem II 1-4 NAC Breda
Tuesday, September 5 at 9.30am in Eerste Divisie
Tuesday, September 5 at 9.30am in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: MVV 2-1 Jong Ajax
Friday, September 1 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, September 1 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 65.79%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 14.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
65.79% ( -4.39) | 19.25% ( 1.46) | 14.96% ( 2.93) |
| Both teams to score 53.98% ( 3.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
