We said: Charlotte FC 1-3 FC Cincinnati
Despite a recent wobble in form, Cincinnati will be regarded as favourites to come out on top against a struggling Charlotte outfit this weekend.
The visitors have had few problems finding the net so far this season, scoring in all but one of their 20 MLS matches, and we can see them having more joy in front of goal in North Carolina.
How to watch
You can watch Charlotte FC vs. FC Cincinnati and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV.
Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.