Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 19.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.