Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.23%) and 2-0 (5.49%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.