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New York City
Major League Soccer
Sep 16, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Yankee Stadium
New York Red Bulls

NY City
0 - 0
NY Red Bulls


Pellegrini (42'), Morales (63'), Sands (90+3')
FT

Barlow (48'), Ndam (69'), Harper (90+7'), Tolkin (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 1-1 Vancouver
Saturday, September 2 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 4-1 NY Red Bulls
Monday, September 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-0 New York Red Bulls

It is a real possibility that both New York clubs will miss the MLS Cup playoffs in the same season for the first time, as we are nearing closer to now or never time for each. Many of their encounters this year have not gone their way, but NYCFC have created more scoring opportunities from one match to another when compared to the Red Bulls, and that is why we believe the home side will triumph on Saturday.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. New York Red Bulls and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 56.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 19.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
56.49% (0.016999999999996 0.02) 24.2% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 19.31% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 47.07% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.63% (0.067999999999998 0.07)53.36% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.1% (0.056999999999999 0.06)74.9% (-0.053999999999988 -0.05)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.24% (0.034000000000006 0.03)18.75% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.86% (0.053999999999995 0.05)50.14% (-0.052 -0.05)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.93% (0.039999999999999 0.04)42.06% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.51% (0.035 0.04)78.49% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 56.49%
    New York Red Bulls 19.31%
    Draw 24.19%
New York City FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 13.2% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 11.05%
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 6.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.34% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.58% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 56.49%
1-1 @ 11.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.89% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.14% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 6.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.95% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.2% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 19.31%

Head to Head
May 14, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
1-0
NY City
Fernandez (76')
Reyes (67'), Nealis (72'), Tolkin (81'), Casseres Jr (88')

Parks (37')
Jul 17, 2022 10pm
NY Red Bulls
0-1
NY City

Casseres Jr (84'), Amaya (86'), Nealis (90+4')
Castellanos (69')
Morales (41'), Acevedo (71'), Castellanos (88')
Oct 17, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 40
NY Red Bulls
1-0
NY City
Casseres Jr (3')
Nealis (16'), Davis (21')

Chanot (34'), Amundsen (82')
Sep 26, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
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Chiefs
9.30pm
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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