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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Mar 10, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Exploria Stadium
Minnesota United

Orlando City
2 - 3
Minnesota Utd

McGuire (1', 83')
Felipe (34')
Cartagena (90+11')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Pukki (4', 38'), Hlongwane (90+5')
Trapp (32'), Boxall (43'), Taylor (70'), Arriaga (79'), Hlongwane (90+6'), St Clair (90+2')
Rosales (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 0-0 Tigres
Wednesday, March 6 at 2am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Columbus Crew
Saturday, March 2 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 1-1 Minnesota United

While Orlando have made a less-than-impressive start to the season, they do still have a very good squad of players, and it should just be a matter of time until they find high gear. For now, though, Minnesota are the ones with the form and we feel they will keep their unbeaten record intact by taking a point from this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 21.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Orlando CityDrawMinnesota United
56.4% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 22.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 21.43% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 56.69% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.81% (0.024999999999999 0.02)42.19% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.41% (0.027999999999999 0.03)64.59% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.21% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)14.79% (0.0029999999999983 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.94% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)43.06% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.53% (0.048000000000002 0.05)33.47% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.9% (0.053999999999998 0.05)70.1% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 56.4%
    Minnesota United 21.43%
    Draw 22.16%
Orlando CityDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.04% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 5.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.75% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 56.4%
1-1 @ 10.35%
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.16%
1-2 @ 5.67% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.42%
0-2 @ 2.97% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 21.43%

Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 1.30am
May 10, 2020 12.30am
Aug 18, 2019 1am
Gameweek 32
Minnesota Utd
1-1
Orlando City
Danladi (92')
Gregus (32'), Gasper (63'), Opara (70')
Nani (70' pen.)
Dwyer (57')
Mar 11, 2018 12.30am
Gameweek 3
Orlando City
1-2
Minnesota Utd
Yotun (42' pen.)
Laryea (56')
Finlay (12', 79')
Schuller (88'), Toye (94')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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